Wednesday, November 26, 2008

Scores of State Road Projects Are in Limbo Awaiting an economic stimulus package, transportation departments defer billions in work

11/26/2008
By Aileen Cho, Brad Fullmer and Bruce Buckley

For some, it is millions of dollars’ worth of deferred paving work. For others, it is billion-dollar highway expansions. Nationwide, state transportation departments are putting projects on hold due to shrinking budgets. Dwindling tax revenue from gas and other sources, a bleak economic environment and continued high materials costs are all taking their toll. An anticipated infrastucture-heavy stimulus package from the new Obama administration cannot come soon enough for industry officials.

“In my 30 years in the industry, I’ve never seen anything like this,” says Tom Warne, former Utah Dept. of Transportation chief and founder of Tom Warne and Associates, LLC, South Jordan, Utah. “DOTs have cut back at certain times—for example, during the delays of highway bills—and they get conservative while they wait for the reauthorization to occur. But it is unprecedented this time.”

UDOT announced on Nov. 20 that it would halt nearly $4 billion of transportation projects. “We are trying to do what is responsible,” says UDOT deputy director Carlos Braceras. “It makes no sense to find yourself in a hole and keep digging. We were at the point that if we kept proceeding with our heads in the ground we would send projects into construction and then not be able to pay the bills. That is not what we want.”

Among the 50 Utah projects on hold is the $2.6-billion design-build Interstate 15 CORE project in Utah County, the two-phase $290-million Mountain View Corridor between Salt Lake and Utah counties, and a $118-million I-15 expansion to Highland in Utah County.

Local contractors are dismayed with UDOT’s decision, although there is still $2 billion worth of work under contract that will proceed. “It makes me wonder what [UDOT] is thinking,” says Kip Wadsworth, president of Ralph L. Wadsworth Construction, Draper. “In­stead of taking a scalpel to this, they took an ax,” he complains.

William Buechner, vice president of economics and research for the American Road and Transportation Builders Association, testified before the U.S. House of Representatives on Oct. 30, citing 13 states that have or are considering deferring new projects. Since then, Utah, Georgia and Kansas have joined the list.

Through December and January, Kan­sas DOT will let bids worth about a third of its originally planned $314 million. “If we can get additional federal money through whatever means, we could let them relatively quickly next year,” says Jerry Younger, the state engineer. “If those projects are delayed a year or two out, then the roadways will continue to deteriorate.”

Younger says no internal layoffs are expected, unlike in Virginia where its DOT announced last month that it may cut up to $2.6 billion off its six-year plan. Neighboring Maryland is taking aim at $1.1 billion of project funding that will be deferred in its six-year plan. Transportation Secretary John D. Porcari announced in September that the state’s transportation trust fund would receive $115 million less than projected this year due to a downturn in the motor fuel tax, vehicle titling tax and other fees. “Without the expected revenue, we have to defer new projects until we can afford them,” he said. Those projects include highways and transit.

Hopes hinge in large part on a prom­ised stimulus package with infrastructure projects and possibly a national infrastructure bank as a centerpiece. ARTBA’s Buechner told the House Committee on Transportation and Infrastructure that thousands of projects could begin within 30 to 60 days of the start of such a stimulus program.

In urging that the program include the potential for 100% federal funding of “ready to go” projects, he noted, “Although the national unemployment rate is just over 6%, the unemployment rate among construction workers in September was 9.9%, almost four percentage points higher....During the past three years, highway construction contractors have shrunk their payrolls by 30,000 workers as state and local highway agencies have postponed projects in response to skyrocketing construction costs and tight budgets.”

EU Proposes 200 Billion-Euro Stimulus Against Crisis

Nov. 26 (Bloomberg) -- The European Union is coordinating a 200 billion-euro ($259 billion) stimulus proposal for the 27- nation economy and said more may be needed to limit the impact of the global financial crisis.

The package, to which individual countries will contribute 170 billion euros, is equivalent to 1.5 percent of the 27-nation EU’s gross domestic product. “We may even need more,” European Commission President Jose Barroso said in unveiling the proposal in Brussels today, adding that the plan was an “exceptional response” to an “exceptional crisis.”

Today’s proposal is the latest in a series of measures to counter the impact of a worldwide financial turmoil that has shut down access to funding, roiled stock markets and sent household and corporate confidence into a tailspin. The EU wants to coordinate measures among member countries to boost growth after the economy slipped into a recession in the third quarter.

Europe’s largest nations already have begun taking steps to reignite company investment and kick-start household spending and those measures are included under today’s proposal. Germany this month announced a 50 billion-euro package for its economy, while France is planning actions to help its auto industry. In the U.K., the government cut its value-added tax to spur consumer spending.

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Friday, November 21, 2008

Yearly Highway Revenue Dropped 9%, Adding to Road Finance Worries

11/20/2008
By Tom Ichniowski

As Americans drove less, federal gas taxes and other revenue flowing into the Highway Trust Fund fell by $3 billion in fiscal year 2008, compared with the sum collected the year before, the Dept. of Transportation reported.

DOT said on Nov. 19 that the trust fund took in $31 billion in fiscal 2008, down 8.8% from the $34 billion collected in the previous year. As income dropped, 2008 spending from the trust fund on highway and transit projects rose by $2 billion, compared with 2007's level.

DOT also said that vehicle miles traveled continued to fall, declining 4.4% in September, compared with the total for the same month last year. That marks the 11th-consecutive month in which VMT dipped from the 2007 levels.

This year's falloff in highway travel, and resulting dip in trust-fund income, threatened to push the fund's highway account into a deficit by Sept. 30. That crisis was averted when Congress approved, and President Bush signed, a bill authorizing an $8-billion shift to the trust fund from the general fund.

The infusion pushed the account into the black, but it's unclear how long it will stay there. Peters said that if VMT keeps heading downward, the trust fund may see another shortfall sooner than expected. She reiterated her call to Congress to make major changes in how surface transportation is financed.

The trust fund's main revenue sources are the 18.4¢-per-gallon tax on gasoline and the 24.4¢-per-gal. levy on diesel fuel. Other components are taxes on gasohol, special fuels such as liquefied petroleum ga, plus taxes on truck tires and sales of heavy trucks and trailers.

Wednesday, November 19, 2008

Colombia: 25 proyectos de infraestructura - CG/LA y el Foro Sudamericano de Integración



América Economía

En la primera rueda de negocios del sector, que se realizará en Cartagena, se ofrecerá a los inversionistas licitaciones en carreteras, puertos y aeropuertos.


La directora general del Departamento Nacional de Planeación (DNP) de Colombia, Carolina Rentería, anunció que durante la primera rueda de negocios en infraestructura que se llevará a cabo el próximo 2 y 3 de diciembre en Cartagena, se pondrá a disposición de los inversionistas 25 proyectos por US$26 millones.

El evento, convocado por la Iniciativa para la Integración de la Infraestructura Regional Sudamericana (IIRSA), cuya presidencia ejerce la directora del DNP, permitirá, por primera vez, que los 12 ministros de planificación e infraestructura de la región y altos funcionarios de los bancos multilaterales se reúnan con empresarios financieros, firmas de ingeniería, proveedores de maquinaria, equipos y servicios, para crear importantes oportunidades de negocio en torno al desarrollo de las 25 propuestas.

La rueda de negocios denominada "Foro de Liderazgo para la Integración Sudamericana. Construyendo la Infraestructura para la Competitividad Regional", se realiza en el marco de la X Reunión del Comité de Dirección Ejecutiva de IIRSA y es organizada por CG/LA Infrastructure en coordinación con el Departamento Nacional de Planeación, la Secretaría Técnica de IIRSA, el Banco Interamericano de Desarrollo (BID); la Corporación Andina de Fomento (CAF) y el Fondo Financiero para el Desarrollo de la Cuenca del Plata.

Los proyectos previstos en el evento van desde carreteras (incluidas concesiones) hasta puertos, aeropuertos y servicios logísticos, electricidad y gas, según consignó este martes El Espectador.

Dentro de las iniciativas que presentará Colombia se destaca la autopista Ruta del Sol, la autopista de la Nueva Independencia (Medellín-Turbo), la Autopista de las Américas, el Sistema Ferroviario Central y los Sistemas Estratégicos de Transporte Público, de Pasto y Santa Marta.

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Bringing Public Works Into The 21st-century

Some economists have argued a second round of economic stimulus spending should focus on public works projects. However, others have suggested that it would take too long for the projects to actually begin for them to provide the quick increase in hiring and spending that is required for a speedy recovery.

The naysayers have a point if we’re talking about conventional projects, but I believe that’s not the case if we begin to apply a variety of Web 2.0 technologies that have become pervasive in other industries but have not been widely adopted in the public works field.

It’s time for what I call “Bridges 2.0,” reinventing the entire public works planning and construction process, and, in the process, drastically reducing costs (critical in light of the current fiscal crisis) and time to completion.

Last spring I had an opportunity to discuss this problem with Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick, shortly before he announced a $3 billion bridge reconstruction bond project. Patrick complained state highway officials told him that it takes approximately 10 years from conception to completion for even a modest bridge reconstruction project. He jawboned them to reduce it to 5 years. I told the Governor I thought using Web 2.0 tools could cut that 5-year horizon significantly.

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Thursday, November 13, 2008

“¡Acción hoy!”

Por Norman Anderson, fundador de CG/LA Infraestructure— Action this day!

Winston Churchill, célebre estadista británico, escribiría esta rápida directiva en sus memos durante la Segunda Guerra Mundial, cuando una acción urgente era requerida. Esta necesidad de movilizar las cosas rápidamente, sin fallas – ‘en este día’- vino a mi mente la última semana cuando Goldman Sachs y el Fondo Monetario Internacional (FMI) redujeron sus proyecciones de crecimiento del PIB para América Latina.

El FMI redujo el crecimiento económico mundial a 2,5%. Las expectativas para Brasil se revisaron a la baja a un 3% para 2009, y para México las proyecciones fueron ubicadas en un 0,7%. Se trata de un 50% de rebaja de expectativas de crecimiento para Brasil, y casi 100 puntos porcentuales menos para México, en comparación con una proyección anterior. Son revisiones muy profundas. Curioso por saber cuál había sido el período de tiempo contemplado entre tan abruptas revisiones negativas, descubrí que las proyecciones anunciadas el 7 de noviembre ¡eran actualizaciones de números entregados a mediados de octubre!

La tormenta está sobre nosotros, ha llegado con gran furia y repentinamente. Pero, ¿quiénes deben actuar y qué necesitan hacer? ¿Quiénes necesitan recibir los memos de “¡Acción hoy!” y qué deberían decir esos memos?

Primero, los presidentes de cada país de América Latina necesitan reconocer que esta crisis será tan severa como la crisis de la deuda que desencadenó la llamada Década Perdida en la región. Salvo que la acción sea encarada inmediatamente, estamos en la antesala de otra Década Perdida. Pensar que esta situación financiera es ilusoria o pasajera terminará por destruir ahora las economías reales, compañías reales y fuentes de trabajo reales, en un ritmo que difícilmente pueda imaginarse. El sistema financiero ha sido deteriorado seriamente, el crédito ha colapsado y la confianza ha desaparecido. Cada país de la región debería lanzar una iniciativa de infraestructura. “¡Acción hoy!”

Segundo, en cada país un número específico de grandes proyectos –digamos, cinco- necesita ser seleccionado inmediatamente como prioritario para la inversión público-privada. Estas inversiones debieran elegirse sobre bases rigurosas, de acuerdo a dos criterios clave: a) creación de empleos y b) generación de productividad económica en el largo plazo. Una evaluación preliminar de CG/LA señala que los proyectos de tránsito y transporte urbano masivo; logística y agua/saneamiento reúnen ambas condiciones. La lista de proyectos, debidamente priorizados, debe ser publicada inmediatamente. “¡Acción hoy!”

Tercero, los proyectos necesitan aprobarse e implementarse de manera rápida y con menos proceso burocrático. Las actuales no son condiciones normales con plazos normales de ejecución, que usualmente requieren casi un año de estudios previos, preparación de documentos para licitaciones y seis meses para las adjudicaciones. Este es un pedido urgente para salvar a las economías reales de alcanzar la tormenta perfecta, que se avecina a gran velocidad, creada por los dramáticamente bajos precios de las materias primas, la veloz reducción de los mercados de exportación y la todavía más vertiginosa desaparición del crédito. Los proyectos, y las entidades a su cargo, necesitan comenzar a recibir recursos inmediatamente, a principios de diciembre como último plazo. “¡Acción hoy!”

En CG/LA acabamos de concluir nuestro tercer Ranking Anual de Infraestructura Latinoamericana (que estará disponible en la edición de AméricaEconomía de finales de noviembre), y este año nos enfocamos en la habilidad y la capacidad de los países de la región para realizar nuevas inversiones en infraestructura. Sólo Panamá, Chile, Trinidad y Tobago, México y República Dominicana se las arreglaron para obtener un puntaje en torno a 30, un umbral aceptable en términos de atractivo y capacidad. Otra larga cantidad de países –Honduras, Venezuela, Argentina, Ecuador, Nicaragua, Paraguay, Belice, Haití y Bolivia- apenas alcanzaron una puntuación en el rango de 15, lo que significa que son extremadamente incapaces de atraer o absorber nuevas inversiones en infraestructura. Si, como señala el viejo dicho francés, “contrata a un albañil y alimenta a un pueblo”, esto es extremadamente preocupante. “¡Acción hoy!”

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Wednesday, November 12, 2008

Vision & Strategy: Norman F. Anderson - Vietnam Economic Times

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Monday, November 10, 2008

Global Stocks, U.S. Futures Rise on China Stimulus; Yen Falls

By Adam Haigh

Nov. 10 (Bloomberg) -- Stocks rose in Europe and Asia and U.S. index futures climbed after China unveiled a $586 billion plan to stimulate the economy and world leaders urged more cuts in interest rates. Oil and copper rallied, while the yen fell.

China's CSI 300 Index jumped 7.4 percent, and Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Average surged 5.8 percent. BHP Billiton Ltd.ArcelorMittal and ABB Ltd. added more than 13 percent in Europe. The yen slipped 1.7 percent against the euro on speculation China's package will give investors confidence to buy higher- yielding assets using money borrowed in Japan.

``This is very encouraging,'' said Virginie Maisonneuve who helps oversee $19 billion as head of global equities at Schroder Investment Management in London. ``We need a speedy implementation. From a sentiment standpoint and in terms of planning ahead, this will create a positive shift.'' She spoke in a Bloomberg Television interview.

The MSCI World Index increased 1.6 percent to 954.42 at 12:13 p.m. in London, trimming this year's drop to 40 percent. The International Monetary Fund predicts global growth will slow to 2.2 percent in 2009 from 3.7 percent this year, meaning a world recession under the fund's informal definition -- growth of 3 percent or less.

Europe's Dow Jones Stoxx 600 Index advanced 2.4 percent, and futures on the Standard & Poor's 500 Index climbed 2.1 percent. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index added 3.3 percent.

The yen fell 1.7 percent to 127.24 per euro, and it declined to 98.98 from 98.24 against the dollar.

Infrastructure Spending

The government of China, the world's fourth-largest economy, announced infrastructure spending, tax deductions and farming subsidies. The central bank has already cut interest rates three times in two months, joining policy makers from Washington and Tokyo to Frankfurt and London in efforts to lower borrowing costs and inject cash to avoid recession.

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Thursday, November 6, 2008

California approves $10B bond for bullet trains - Confirmed to participate in CG/LA's GILF2

November 5, 2008 - By DON THOMPSON (AP)

LOS ANGELES - California voters are green-lighting America's most ambitious high-speed rail system, approving a nearly $10 billion bond to put speeding bullet trains capable of topping 200 mph (320 kph) between the state's major metropolitan areas.

The measure, which passed with 52 percent support Tuesday, will fund the first phase of what is projected to be a $45 billion, 800-mile (1,287-kilometer) project built with state, federal, local and private money.




Backers sold the proposal as an innovative alternative to soaring airfares and gas prices. In the closing weeks of the campaign, they touted estimates that it would create nearly 160,000 construction-related jobs and 450,000 permanent jobs.

"In our state, transportation is always a big issue," said Mark Baldassare, president of the nonpartisan, nonprofit Public Policy Institute of California. "A lot of people have a sense that maybe that (bullet train) is something I can use at some point. It's something they can relate to."

The first phase of the rail line would link Anaheim, Los Angeles, Fresno and San Francisco. Planners eventually want to include Sacramento, San Diego and Oakland.

The $9.9 billion proposition includes $9 billion for bullet trains and $950 million for conventional commuter and intercity rail, including trains to connect travelers with the high-speed system.

"Californians decided to reduce our oil dependence, to build alternatives to traffic and long airport lines, and to help solve global warming. Californians were also voting to boost the economy," said Emily Rusch of the California Public Interest Research Group.

High-speed rail lines are well established in Europe and Japan, but not the United States. Amtrak's Acela Express, linking Boston, New York and Washington, D.C., is the only U.S. rail line that tops the 125 mph (200 kph) considered "high speed" by international standards, and even that line averages far slower over the course of its full run.

California's plan still needs support from federal and local governments and private investments. Supporters say that with enough money, the first trains could be running in six years and the entire system could be completed by 2020.

Opponents also fear the measure might not pay for itself and require ongoing subsidies. An environmental group, meanwhile, has sued over the proposed route from the Central Valley to the San Francisco Bay area.

California's effort has been 14 years in development, since it was first recommended by a commission in 1994.

View CG/LA Infrastructure's GILF2 Line-up of Projects

Wednesday, November 5, 2008

Florida Awards Groundbreaking Highway Contract

By Deb Wood 11/4/2008

The Florida Dept. of Transportation has tapped a team led by ACS Infrastructure Development Inc. (ACSID), Coral Gables, Fla., to design, build, finance, operate and maintain for 35 years the $1.8-billion I-595 Corridor Improvement Project. The approximately 10.5-mi Interstate 595 project in Broward County will add three reversible express variable toll lanes at grade in the median and additional auxiliary lanes, reconstruct entrance and exit ramps to remove merge conflicts, connect a frontage road between Davie Road and State and implement a bus rapid transit system. FDOT anticipates a summer 2009 start, with work to wrap up in 2014.

“There is no road project like this in the history of FDOT,” says FDOT District 4 Secretary Jim Wolfe. “We will deliver these express lanes and braided ramps and all of the improvements 16 years earlier than projected, and we are doing it at a present-day project cost of $275 million less than conventional [design-bid-build].”

FDOT posted a notice of intent to award on Oct. 24, 2008, selecting the Spanish-led consortium ACSID as Best Value Proposer. A joint venture between Dragados USA Inc of New York and Grandi Lavori Florida (GLF Construction Corp.) of Miami serve as lead contractors. Earth Tech of Miami is the lead engineering firm. ACSID is the equity partner and responsible for operations and maintenance.

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Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Election Results